All over the world, there are fixed football matches at certain levels of the game. Wether it is spot fixing or fixed results. Today a twitter account followed me claiming to be selling fixed football match results and obviously it will be a scam.
There are a few things to look out for when someone approaches you claiming to be selling inside info that a match is rigged to go a certain way and it is one of the easiest cons to be suckered in by.
Firstly I have to say that betting on fixed football matches is illegal and you shouldn’t do it in the first place. However having this sort of information to avoid being scammed may help you or one of your friends in the future.
The majority of fixed football match scams work by way of the scammer offering you the Half Time/ Full Time result. They work this in the same way that Derren Brown works his horse racing system in his Channel 4 special. There are 9 ways a half time/full time bet can go. All offering big odds. For example in tonight Juventus vs Monaco game the shortest odds for a HT/FT bet is 10/3 so you would be tripling your money if you were to bet on that.
So once the scammer decides on their game they send out all 9 different types of possible outcomes to all of their paying customers evenly so if 900 people had paid to get the result from them 100 each would get each possible outcome meaning 100 people will get the correct result and will have tripled their investment. Which in their eyes is brilliant they have found a way to make a lot of money quick.
The building of trust allows the person selling the fixed match results to charge more for the next one usually selling the line “I had to work harder to get this one so it will cost more.” The 100 people still left in all get the 9 different outcomes sent to them equally. This time 12 or 13 people will get the right result depending on how lucky the scammer is.
Now, these 13 people may have made some serious money at this point and will trust the scammer unquestionably. As they have their new money to spend he can continue asking for more giving out the same line that it was harder to get hold of and it will cost more. And he sends out the nine possible outcomes again.
This time only one or two people will get the right result, but the losers can be reeled back in by the scammer he’s given them two correct bets before and this one was just a mistake. He will offer the losers more fixed matches at a cheaper price. Once again only one or two of them will win.
Now these final 2/3/4 will have made big money and will trust this guy a lot. He may very well have made them all thousands of pounds at this point and he will charge even more and they will pay it because they’ve been doing so well so far. He might even pick another winner out of the 9 possible options to keep the scam going for longer. But eventually he will lose, he will try to reel them in again by saying it was a mistake and they may even buy that. However eventually they will realise they have been scammed and he will run away with all their money.
I messaged the account that followed me today and he said the next game will cost me £200. If he only doubled that every time they message the 10% of people they will have given a winner to, and he has 900 people like I wrote about. He would have made £232,000. This account that messaged me has 39,000 followers so 900 may be a small estimate and they wouldn’t only double the price for the people who win they’d charge much higher rates.
This account has almost 40,000 followers and he retweets everyone who he picks a winner for giving new followers the illusion that he reliably picks winners.
It is the perfect scam in their minds. They can make off with thousands of pounds for doing nothing while their marks aren’t going to report them to the police as betting on illegal fixed matches will land them in a lot of trouble.